In order to isolate the actual occurrence of coincidences from the noticing of them, it is necessary for the experiment to focus on clearly defined events that can be classified as coincidences or non-coincidences by some objective criteria. And since a control in the usual sense is impossible, it is necessary that the coincidences we are looking at should have a probability that can be calculated mathematically and does not have to be obtained empirically.
So I decided to go with dice. If you roll two dice and get doubles, that's a coincidence -- two semantically related but causally independent events occurring together -- and one that has a probability that can be calculated a priori. It doesn't even matter if the dice aren't perfectly fair. After obtaining the data -- a long list of rolls -- we count the total number of ones rolled, the total number of twos, and so on, and from that we can calculate the null probability of rolling dubs. Then we can count the actual number of dubs rolled and see if the results are significant. It's a simple, clean experiment, and I should have thought of it ages ago.
While I was planning out the experiment in my mind, I had to go to the bathroom. I'd never noticed the logo on the plastic trash can in there, but this time it caught my eye and seemed like a good omen:
That logo also reminds me of something else -- a book I've known about for a long time but haven't yet gotten around to reading:
Coincidentally, just two days ago (January 26) Seallion posted a sync video that discusses the Illuminatus! trilogy.
And not long before that (January 20), I had posted some eye-in-the-triangle images in "More Urim and Thummim syncs."
So it appears that the sync fairies approve of this experiment. Stay tuned for the results.


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