Wednesday, January 11, 2023

Depopulation of Taiwan: Update

Now that they've released the 2022 numbers, here's how things stand:

As discussed in my July 2022 post "Reports of the 'depopulation of Taiwan' may have been somewhat exaggerated," the claim (started by Igor Chudov and spread by Karl Denninger and Vox Day) that there had been a 26-sigma drop in Taiwan's birthrate was grossly exaggerated and was the result of a very basic error in statistical analysis. As the chart shows, birthrates have been falling steadily since well before the birdemic and peck, and there have been no sudden and inexplicable plunges.

Deaths, on the other hand, did jump significantly in 2021 and even more so in 2022. Of course there is no reliable information about causes of death. In my own circle (people known to me personally and their first-degree relatives), five have died of Suddenly and zero of the birdemic.

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